DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN - The Problem with Polling

To understand why Obama is leading in the polls, read through the polling numbers, all the way to the bottom - there is a disclaimer: "For polling data released during the week of October 19-25, 2008, the partisan weighting targets used by Rasmussen Reports will be 39.7% Democratic, 33.0% Republican, and 27.3% unaffiliated."

In this Rasmussen poll, Obama has a +4% lead over John McCain - but the poll would indicate that Democrats were polled at a higher rate of 40% to Republican's 33% - a 7% advantage.

Is there any wonder why Obama is ahead in the polls?

And what is NOT being reported by the polls - IBD polling reports Obama up by 5% nationally... which is what the headline would read across the nation - but what the headline SHOULD read is that 12% of Americans are UNDECIDED two weeks before the vote!

This is not the first time that polling has given false results. Consider the following historical image:

In 1948, polls showed Dewey as the favorite in all polls - unfortunately, the polls were conducted by telephone, and at that time, not every household had telephones. It was an historical fudge on the order of the 2000 call of Florida for Gore before voting was even finished in the panhandle!

These polls are a farce, being used to undermine a clear victory by John McCain by convincing the consumers of the nation that Obama had won, and that McCain must have stolen the election. The attempts by the media are clear, and disturbing. Confuse the people into anger - then send the angry people into the streets to protest our form of government - perhaps an attempt to kill the electoral college system in favor of a populist vote - which the founders where clearly against! Populism is the killer of freedom!

Rudy, Huckabee beat Clinton; Romeny loses to Clinton in Colorado

Rasmussen Reports conducted a survey in Colorado at the end of November, gathering data on head to head match-ups. The match-ups were related to the Senate race between Schaffer and Udall, as well as head to head presidential preferences in a Rudy/Clinton, Huckabee/Clinton, Romney/Clinton, McCain Clinton match-up.

The results:

Schaffer leads Udall in the senate race, 42% to 41%.

Rudy Beats Hillary: 44% - 40%
McCain Beats Clinton: 44% - 40%
Huckabee Beats Clinton: 42% - 41%
Romney Loses to Clinton: 40% - 43%

Remember, it all comes down to picking up electoral votes in the general election. Who is REALLY electable? Look at which states they stand to lose or gain from the 2004 electoral map.

From Colorado's standpoint, Rudy, McCain, and Huckabee stand to hold Colorado, while Romney would deliver Colorado to Clinton.

If there are any more state head-to-heads, please let me know. I would like to build an electoral map based off these head to head match-ups.

Cheers!