The Mexican Government is deploying "Federal Police" to Juarez, Mexico, to begin combat operations against the army held by the anti-government drug cartels.
Mexico's 145,000 man standing army is being challenged by the 100,000 man rebel army held by the heavily armed and better funded drug cartels.
The implications on the United States is severe -
1. Obama's administration is using the increased tensions to support a permanent Brady Bill, banning assault rifles and placing other harsh restrictions on US gun-owners to stop weapons moving south in support of the cartels. Of course this is a sham cover for Obama's and the Left's hatred for weapons, and the personal responsibility and liberty associated with them.
2. Increased violence along I-25 corridor as a main vessel of drug traffic, as reported by the FBI
3. Increased violence in border towns. If this becomes a full-scale shooting war, towns like El Paso will be hit with stray bullets, mortars, etc.
4. Refugees from a war torn northern Mexico will need to seek asylum in the United States - if they seek refugee status it is one thing, but if they can prove a need for asylum, they become quasi-citizens... A massive refugee flux along the border would either need massive FEMA coordination, UN coordination, or otherwise transport refugees across the US to thin the numbers/impact of the refugees. You thought Illegal Immigration was bad......
5. This will be a burden on the US taxpayer, will involve US or state military, and will require some aspects of rationing food and fuel... for all intense and purpose, a war on our southern border will further cripple the otherwise stagnant economy - potentially destabilizing regions of the US...
Regions which should be on high alert -
- All border towns/cities
- portions of towns which have a high Mexican immigrant population (Southern California, portions of Northern California, Phoenix, Tucson, Albuquerque, Denver Metro - especially those with Interstate corridors allowing fast transportation from the border regions
- cities/towns with already high gang and drug violence
I do not see how this is going to end quickly. The Mexican Government is nearly matched man-for-man, is out-funded by the rebels, and has the advantage of guerrilla warfare.